Friday, July 30, 2004

Paul Martin's stunning conversion to old-school liberalism during the June election campaign included a bunch of references to the two Supreme Court vacancies that will soon cry out for filling. Sure, we all suspect Harper of harbouring Bush-like ideological designs on the big bench--but we've yet to see a lot of evidence that Martin will replace gonzo Charter-hawks Arbour and Iacobucci with like-minded activist-types.

Maclean's has a decent article on the current debate surrounding the Court. Who might be in the line for the hot seats?
By law, justices are chosen from superior court judges or from lawyers with at least 10 years' experience. Traditionally, replacements come from the same province as the departing justice -- that's Ontario for both Arbour and Iacobucci. Possible candidates from the Ontario Court of Appeal: Rosalie Abella, the first Jewish female judge in Canada; Louise Charron, a bilingual francophone; David Doherty, considered an expert on criminal law; Eileen Gillese, a Rhodes Scholar and one of the three judges who ruled unanimously in favour of same-sex marriage in 2003; and John Laskin, son of former Supreme Court chief justice Bora Laskin, who has wide expertise in constitutional, criminal and business law.

Possible candidates from Ontario's legal community include: Peter Hogg, a leading constitutional expert; David Scott, the first Canadian president of the American College of Trial Lawyers; Marlys Edwardh, whose background is in criminal law; and Sheila Block, a civil litigator of note.
Appointing Gillese would be a brave and emblematic move on Martin's part, which is why it's so unlikely. In December of last year, The Globe and Mail named Gillese, along with Ontario Chief Justice McMurtry and Judge MacPherson, as the paper's "Nation Builders of the Year," in recognition of the wisdom and courage behind their June 10 court decision in favour of equal marriage. "This case is ultimately about the recognition and protection of human dignity and equality," the judges wrote in their historic decision. The Globe noted:
The Court of Appeal ruling was an example of the willingness of the nation's judges to go with speed and precision where politicians only dither. In a year when Canada drew a forceful line with the United States by refusing to join the war in Iraq and moving ahead with the decriminalization of marijuana, the legalization of same-sex unions was the most concrete sign of the country's determination to be a socially liberal place, where differences can be celebrated and choice will be honoured.

A similarly inspiring choice would be Justice Rosalie Abella. Born in an IDP camp in Germany to Holocaust survivors, she came to Canada as a refugee, and became not only the youngest judge in Canada, but the first Jewish female judge and the first pregnant judge in the country's history. She was sole Commissioner and author of the 1984 federal Royal Commission on Equality in Employment, where she coined the term “employment equity." The theories of “equality” and “discrimination” she put forward in her report were adopted by the Supreme Court of Canada in its first decision dealing with equality rights under the Charter of Rights and Freedoms, and has since been implemented in Canada, New Zealand, Northern Ireland and South Africa.

Marlys Edwardh, currently one of the senior counsels representing Maher Arar at the federal commission of inquiry, and Sheila Block, chair of the Toronto litigation practice at Torys and a former CCLA board member, would also be great picks. If only Martin's lame-ass performance in promoting women to Cabinet hadn't exposed the slim-to-none chances of two deserving women reaching the Supreme Court together.

Wednesday, July 21, 2004

Yesterday, I spent a lot of time effusing about the new Liberal government, but I'm willing to give a sober second thought to Martin's picks now that my Dosanjh/Emerson euphoria is wearing off.

For a party that is consistently delivered to power by the decisive votes of Canadian women, the Liberals have done a lamentably poor job of promoting their own women to positions of power. Sure, Anne Maclellan is still Deputy PM and Public Security Minister. Lucienne Robillard was not dumped, as many had expected, and sits now atop Intergovernmental Affairs. Though I despise her politics, Albina Guarnieri is deserving of her new gig at Veterans Affairs. Ditto Claudette Bradshaw, Judy Sgro, and Aileen Carroll, who all get to keep their ministerial limos. One especially good call was the appointment of Liza Frulla, a former provincial culture maven with broad contacts in the arts communities, to succeed the embarrassing (and defeated) Hélène Scherrer as Heritage Minister.

There were 11 women in Cabinet before June 28th. Remember when Carolyn Bennett laid the smackdown on Jean Chrétien, grumbling infront of the cameras that the boss should have put more than 10 women around his table? Well, he had a Cabinet of 38, and now Martin has 9 women in a Cabinet of 39. Bennett is Minister of State for Public Health now, but by all accounts, she should have been promoted beyond a second-tier portfolio long ago. There is no shortage of capable women in the Liberal caucus: in fact, there's a surplus of them.

In seeking to fill the senior ranks of his ministry, Martin could have tapped credible performers like Ontarians Paddy Tornsey, Brenda Chamberlain, Bonnie Brown, Sue Barnes, Sam Bulte, and Karen Redmond (or Jean Augustine, who was dumped), Manitoba's Anita Neville, or Marlene Jennings and Eleni Bakopanos from Quebec; or taken a chance on promising newcomers like Ruby Dhalla, Yasmin Ratansi, Susan Kadis, and Françoise Boivin. Instead, he promoted cronies and bagmen from the years of Liberal feuding like Tony Valeri, Jean Lapierre, Tony Ianno, and Joe Fontana.

Maybe the Albertan bogeyman can keep Canadian women in Martin's corner indefinitely. Maybe he's not mistaken in taking their votes for granted. Yet he may also have something to learn from the BC NDP's Carole James, who seems set to capitalize on the yawning gender gap between her party and the ruling Liberals by running a stellar slate of female candidates in the provincial mashup next year. I'd like to believe that the chronic underrepresenation of women in the Liberal government will not be discounted by voters (or caucus) forever.

Tuesday, July 20, 2004

Also worthy to note:
 
6. The return of Stéphane Dion (applause). In a Cabinet that also includes the ridiculous Jean Lapierre (raucous applause).
 
7. The appointment of Canada's first openly gay federal Cabinet minister.

Initial thoughts on Martin's new ministry:
 
1. Big wins for BC. Dosanjh will be running the federal government's most important department, Health; and Emerson will top mighty Industry. Both of them should be spending some time on the side honing their French, so they can fight a bilingual battle royale for the party leadership in 24 months' time. Owen's move to a full-fledged WED minister should be seen as lateral. Bonus: At long last, we see the back of David Anderson.
 
2. Big wins for the progressive edge of the Liberal Party. Though I adored having the erudite Bill Graham as Our Man Abroad, lefties around the country should heave a sigh of relief that he was Martin's ultimate pick for Defence. And if I could have had my choice of who to replace him with at Foreign Affairs, well . . . it would have been Allan Rock, but Pierre Pettigrew would have been the runner-up.
 
Also notable: John Godfrey has the Cities (ahem, "Infrastructure and Communities") file, Ken Dryden has vaulted into Social Development, Frulla's supremo at Heritage, and the abovementioned ex-New Dem provincial poobah is Health Minister. Disappointed Carolyn Parrish wasn't promoted higher, and that no one saw fit to tap Marlene Jennings for anything bigger than US-Canada parliamentary gopher, but still. This is a significantly different looking government than the last one.
 
3. The rightish edge of the Liberal Party got its nose tweaked. Sure, Guarnieri is Veterans Affairs Minister, but where's Dan McTeague? Roger Gallaway? Jim Karygiannis? Just as far from any real power as they were yesterday. Breath a collective sigh of relief, Canada.
 
4. Ontario can, after all, be taken for granted.
 
5. Ruby Dhalla will have her day.

Friday, July 16, 2004

Martin announces his Cabinet on Tues., but I'm happy to come right out and say today that these would be my choice cuts and picks if I had PM's ear:
 
1. The much-touted "5 BC Cabinet ministers" should materialize, but without the company of Victoria warhorse David Anderson--at least not in any sort of senior role. His time is long past, and there's more Liberal talent in BC than ever before. Stephen Owen to justice, Ujjal Dosanjh to social development or labour, Emerson to industry, Keith Martin to a junior portfolio or parliamentary secretary. And bring back Queen Hedy: She warded off a heavy NDP challenge in Vancouver Centre, and should at least be considered ahead of Olympic-junket-muncher Raymond Chan, perhaps the least impressive Liberal comeback in the country.
 
2. Farewell, Claudette Bradshaw. Why has NB been holding onto two ministers for so long? That second spot around the Cabinet table should go to Nova Scotia. Either Scott Brison or Geoff Regan would be a good fit at defence (though the rumour-milled possibility of Brison taking on finance is just daft). Oh, and adieu to Joe McGuire: time to make room for the only PEI Liberal who hasn't been in government, Shawn Murphy.
 
3. Axe Reg Alcock from Treasury. Challenging Peter MacKay to a fight on the floor of the Commons does not an impressive cabmin make. Who to replace him? Lucienne Robillard, Ruby Dhalla, Marlene Jennings.
 
4. Ken Dryden is too hot a commodity to be fobbed off on some bush-league portfolio like amateur sport. Revenue is available, and if Anderson goes, environment, too.
 
5. John Godfrey for the heralded "communities" ministry. Or Sam Bulte.
 
6. With calmer heads prevailing now in the PMO, Stephan Dion should come back to his rightful place in the Liberal firmament. He wants Indian Affairs? Let him have it. Or anything else he wants. And be gracious enough to grant us Jean Lapierre, Parliamentary Secretary for Something Inconsequential.
 
7. What about the Big Names? Goodale to deputy PM and House leader, Maclellan to finance. Keep Graham at foreign affairs. Give Intergovernmental Affairs to an up-and-comer and let Pettigrew focus on health.
 
8. For godsakes, give heritage to Liza Frulla--and call it what it is: culture.
 
9. Find places for Dhalla and Jennings, no matter what. 
 
10. Demote Albina Guarniei. Pretend not to hear Dan McTeague, Jim Karygiannis, Andrew Telegdi, Mario Silva, and Roger Gallaway pleading in the background. Stick in some reasonable GTA MPs, like Tony Ianno; and maybe Eleni Bakopanos, too.

Friday, July 02, 2004

ELECTION 2004 POST-MORTEM

Well, so much for idle web-roaming as a means of acquiring magical predictive powers. Despite all of my crazed obscene cursing at the TVs around Ed Broadbent's Little Italy election afterparty, by July 2nd the recounts confirmed my pathetic 60% accuracy. The NDP national electoral vote was up, but Martin's scaremongering and some bad luck in three-way splits robbed us of our fantasized-about uber-comeback. The breakdown below (X indicates those seats I called where New Democrats actually won, * indicates incumbents or seats we took in 2000):

ONTARIO
1. Olivia Chow (Trinity-Spadina)
2. Jack Layton (Toronto-Danforth) X
3. Joe Comartin (Windsor-Tecumseh*) X
4. Brian Masse (Windsor West*) X
5. Ed Broadbent (Ottawa Centre) X
6. David Christopherson (Hamilton Centre) X
7. Peter Tabuns (Beaches-East York)
8. Peggy Nash (Parkdale-High Park)
9. Tony Martin (Sault Ste-Marie) X
10. Susan Barclay (Kenora)

BC
11. Libby Davies (Vancouver East*) X
12. Jean Crowder (Naniamo-Cowichan) X
13. Randall Garrison (Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca)
14. Ian Waddell (Vancouver Kingsway)
15. Peter Julian (Burnaby-New Westminster) X
16. Bill Siksay (Burnaby-Douglas*) X
17. Kennedy Stewart (Vancouver Centre)
18. Nathan Cullen (Skeena-Bulkley Valley) X

PRAIRIES/NORTH
19. Lorne Nystrom (Regina-Qu’Appelle*)
20. Denis Gruending (Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar)
21. Moe Kovatch (Regina-Lumsden-Lake Centre)
22. Bill Blaikie (Elmwood-Transcona*) X
23. Bev Desjarlais (Churchill*) X
24. Judy Wasylycia-Leis (Winnipeg North Centre*) X
25. Pat Martin (Winnipeg Centre*) X
26. Dick Proctor (Palliser*)

ATLANTIC
27. Alexa McDonough (Halifax*) X
28. Peter Stoffer (Sackville-Musquodoboit Valley-Eastern Shore*) X
29. Yvon Godin (Acadie-Bathurst*) X
30. Susan MacAlpine-Gillis (Dartmouth-Cole Harbour*)

The 19th NDP seat on Election Day was in Timmins-James Bay, where Charlie Angus prevailed on our behalf.

Devastated Olivia lost. Still, all in all it was a bad night for the New Democrats, but a good night for Canada. We managed to stave off the descent into Mordor and send Harper home to think about retooling his CV, eliminated some nasty Liberal Cabmins (Keyes, Pratt, Scherrer), and installed some Cabinet-bound BC heavyweights (Dosanjh, Emerson). The NDP and BQ hold the balance of power, and we can expect to see the back of Paul Martin within two years. Plus this guy is the Member-Elect for Skeena-Bulkley Valley. I'm not complaining.