In hot pursuit of that last post, the print version of La Presse has a regional breakdown for BC:

NDP 33%
LPC 33%
CPC 24%
GPC 10%

TND quietly mutters "bullshit" in regards to that 10% for the Greens (vote-parkers, come home! all is forgiven!), and heads back to Babble for some well-deserved gloating. Tied with the Grits in TND's home province? Should this kind of support remain more or less static, not only would Nathan Cullen coast to victory, but great swaths of the GVRD and Vancouver Island would be painted a charming shade of orange. Jack Layton, MP, Leader of the Official Opposition?

Check this out: The Toronto Star commissioned an Ekos poll that shows the NDP with 21% of voter support, up nearly 6% from our share of the vote in 2004. It's a big sample size, and thus hard to dismiss as an outlier; still, the more interesting numbers are here:

About 68 per cent of respondents who voted Liberal in the last election said they intend to vote the same way next time, and 87 per cent of Tory voters from 2004 said they would stick with their party.

Thirteen per cent who voted for the Liberals last time said they would now vote for the NDP. About five per cent of Conservative voters said they would switch to the New Democrats.

TND barely made it through Math 10, so take this with a grain of salt, but punching these figures into the UBC Election Stock Market voter migration matrix resulted in the NDP taking 52 seats (and Liberals only 69). Dear readers, with numbers like that we would take Welland.

Hold your breath: Things are about to get interesting.